THE SIGNAL
Hey crew, this week we’re cutting through the noise and focusing on what actually moves investors forward.
No buzzwords, just clear shifts you can use: methodology that is clean, calm and present.
Let’s dive in.
THE FRAMEWORK
🧮 High Probability Trading
The Framework: 3 Factors = High Probability
No trade is taken without at least three aligned factors.
When three independent signals converge, probabilities increase materially. My target is ~80% directional accuracy on qualified setups.
My primary factors:
Time structure
Pattern + trend line structure
Supply / demand alignment
(Optional confirming) RSI or sentiment RSI is never a primary signal. It is confirmation only.
SOCIAL MEDIA
✅ FUD and FOMO will lose money…
Position Management Rules
1️⃣ Avoid Big News Days
No fresh positions into major earnings.
No exposure ahead of major macro releases if unnecessary.
Event volatility adds asymmetric risk.
2️⃣ Start Small, Then DCA Down — Not Up
I scale in only if price moves into value.
I do not add to positions already in profit.
I never “average up” to chase.
Discipline > FOMO.
3️⃣ Aggressive Sizing Only When:
Multi-timeframe alignment exists
Macro structure supports it
I am comfortable holding long-term if required
Owning quality names long term is not a worst-case scenario.
Holding Microsoft or broad index exposure is structurally different from holding speculative beta.
Forex Framework
Forex requires tighter management.
Weekly and daily levels are non-negotiable.
Best structure often forms on 4H charts.
Daily supply/demand zones must be respected.
Tight invalidation levels.
FX punishes laziness.
Sentiment & Contrarian Signals
I use put/call ratios carefully.
Extreme put positioning can signal exhaustion.
Excess optimism can signal local tops.
Sentiment is context — not a trigger.
RSI works the same way.
Oversold does not mean buy.
Overbought does not mean sell.
It is the 3rd or 4th confirming factor only.
What I Avoid
Trading altcoins
Low liquidity instruments
News-driven speculation
Forcing trades
Adding to winners emotionally
Ignoring higher time frame structure
Until we trade again,
Vecta